Rivian Automotive (RIVN +0.89%) remains one of my favorite growth stocks on the market today. Many investors still value the company as an EV stock. In reality, however, I think the company should be valued as an AI stock.
That’s because Rivian is attempting to transform its business to take maximum advantage of its biggest growth opportunities.
Building electric vehicles can be a profitable business. Just look at what Tesla accomplished despite having a fairly limited lineup. But the future of transportation will look very different than today.
McKinsey & Co. recently surveyed more than 90 industry insiders to see how quickly these experts believe fully autonomous vehicles will be deployed. On average, the panel believes that autonomous vehicles will be the norm in most major countries by 2032. Notably, however, robotaxis will precede private autonomous vehicles.
“[T]he global rollout of robo-taxis is now expected to become reality at a large scale in 2030,” the consulting group revealed. “Overall, experts expect that robo-taxis will be the first commercial application for L4 in mobility — not privately owned cars.”
Last December, Rivian announced its first “AI Day,” where it revealed several key initiatives. Not only will the company be fully focused on reaching full autonomy for its vehicles, but it also aims to produce its own AI chips in-house. That’s how important AI and autonomy will be for the company’s future.
Increased spending on AI forced Rivian to drop its 2027 profitability targets. And yet during last month’s earnings call, management announced a $250 million cut to its spending guidance. Here’s how investors should process the seemingly conflicting information.
Today’s Change
(0.89%) $0.14
Current Price
$15.36
Key Data Points
Market Cap
Day’s Range
$15.10 – $15.79
52wk Range
$11.57 – $22.69
Volume
22.1M
Avg Vol
35.4M
Gross Margin
2.06%
Here’s why Rivian is cutting spending despite ambitious AI plans
During its latest earnings call, Rivian announced it would cut its 2026 capital expenditure guidance by $250 million. The new expected range for full-year spending is between $1.7 billion and $1.8 billion.
While lower-than-expected spending can be categorized as a positive, investors should question the cut in light of the company’s desire to increase spending on AI and autonomy efforts.
The cut doesn’t seem to stem from lower production, as the company reaffirmed its delivery target of 65,000 to 70,000 vehicles. Instead, management claims that the lower spending is the result of “project efficiencies and timing of spend.”
This is a fairly vague explanation. But what the company is essentially telling investors is that the $250 million spending cut came with essentially no downsides. It was simply the result of running the business more efficiently than previously expected.
Business efficiencies may also be a euphemism for staff cuts. “The company has had multiple rounds of job cuts — including in June — as part of the effort to get a handle on costs,” observes the BBC.
Image source: Getty Images.
Ultimately, Rivian’s $250 million reduction should be viewed with cautious optimism. The company is apparently keeping a close eye on costs following a recent fundraising round, with CEO RJ Scaringe telling investors that Rivian will “be thoughtful around how rapidly we ramp up our supply chain.” In other words, the company is trying to keep costs down while scaling up production of its R2 SUV, Rivian’s first vehicle priced under $50,000.
The market shouldn’t shun unexpected cost savings. But Rivian’s ability to advance its autonomy roadmap and R2 sales ramp will be more important in the long term than short-term savings.
